**Trader consensus on the San Francisco daily high for September 13, 2026, centers on the 68–71°F range (93% combined implied probability), reflecting current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance showing a high near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F.** Onshore northwesterly winds of 10–30 mph, driven by the typical Pacific high-pressure setup and coastal marine layer, are advecting cooler air and suppressing temperatures despite September’s seasonal peak. Recent model runs and observations indicate mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak in the upper 60s to low 70s. A sharp cooldown followed the extreme 94°F reading on September 9, with highs of 76°F on the 10th and continued moderation under persistent westerly flow. Historical analogs for post-heat-wave September days in San Francisco rarely exceed 75°F without offshore wind reversal, keeping the 72°F+ tails at low single-digit probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by the downtown or airport station; no significant model disagreement or late-day warming signal has emerged to shift the market away from the near-normal 68–71°F bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日旧金山气温最高？
9月13日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 57%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
$12,681 交易量
$12,681 交易量
2026-09-13
61华氏度或以下
<1%
62-63华氏度
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
57%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80华氏度或更高
1%
70-71°F 57%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
$12,681 交易量
$12,681 交易量
2026-09-13
61华氏度或以下
$376 交易量
<1%
62-63华氏度
$145 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$81 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$381 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$2,811 交易量
34%
70-71°F
$4,499 交易量
57%
72-73°F
$1,605 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$356 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$372 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,833 交易量
<1%
80华氏度或更高
$221 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the San Francisco daily high for September 13, 2026, centers on the 68–71°F range (93% combined implied probability), reflecting current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance showing a high near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F.**
Onshore northwesterly winds of 10–30 mph, driven by the typical Pacific high-pressure setup and coastal marine layer, are advecting cooler air and suppressing temperatures despite September’s seasonal peak. Recent model runs and observations indicate mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak in the upper 60s to low 70s. A sharp cooldown followed the extreme 94°F reading on September 9, with highs of 76°F on the 10th and continued moderation under persistent westerly flow.
Historical analogs for post-heat-wave September days in San Francisco rarely exceed 75°F without offshore wind reversal, keeping the 72°F+ tails at low single-digit probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by the downtown or airport station; no significant model disagreement or late-day warming signal has emerged to shift the market away from the near-normal 68–71°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,681结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the San Francisco daily high for September 13, 2026, centers on the 68–71°F range (93% combined implied probability), reflecting current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance showing a high near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F.**
Onshore northwesterly winds of 10–30 mph, driven by the typical Pacific high-pressure setup and coastal marine layer, are advecting cooler air and suppressing temperatures despite September’s seasonal peak. Recent model runs and observations indicate mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak in the upper 60s to low 70s. A sharp cooldown followed the extreme 94°F reading on September 9, with highs of 76°F on the 10th and continued moderation under persistent westerly flow.
Historical analogs for post-heat-wave September days in San Francisco rarely exceed 75°F without offshore wind reversal, keeping the 72°F+ tails at low single-digit probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by the downtown or airport station; no significant model disagreement or late-day warming signal has emerged to shift the market away from the near-normal 68–71°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,681结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET**Trader consensus on the San Francisco daily high for September 13, 2026, centers on the 68–71°F range (93% combined implied probability), reflecting current National Weather Service and private forecast guidance showing a high near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F.** Onshore northwesterly winds of 10–30 mph, driven by the typical Pacific high-pressure setup and coastal marine layer, are advecting cooler air and suppressing temperatures despite September’s seasonal peak. Recent model runs and observations indicate mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak in the upper 60s to low 70s. A sharp cooldown followed the extreme 94°F reading on September 9, with highs of 76°F on the 10th and continued moderation under persistent westerly flow. Historical analogs for post-heat-wave September days in San Francisco rarely exceed 75°F without offshore wind reversal, keeping the 72°F+ tails at low single-digit probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by the downtown or airport station; no significant model disagreement or late-day warming signal has emerged to shift the market away from the near-normal 68–71°F bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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