Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations recorded a minimum temperature at or below 2°C in Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure system allowed surface temperatures to drop sharply overnight, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region when cold air masses advect northward. Model guidance and real-time station data aligned closely with this result, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unprecedented post-event data correction or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given multiple redundant measurement networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
2°C或更低 100.0%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$1,964 交易量
$1,964 交易量
2°C或更低
是
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或更高
否
2°C或更低 100.0%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$1,964 交易量
$1,964 交易量
2°C或更低
是
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations recorded a minimum temperature at or below 2°C in Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure system allowed surface temperatures to drop sharply overnight, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region when cold air masses advect northward. Model guidance and real-time station data aligned closely with this result, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unprecedented post-event data correction or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, an exceedingly low-probability scenario given multiple redundant measurement networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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