Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月14日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
2°C或更低 75%
12°C或更高 39%
5°C 38%
6°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
2°C或更低
75%
3°C
22%
4°C
6%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
14%
10°C
13%
11°C
14%
12°C或更高
39%
2°C或更低 75%
12°C或更高 39%
5°C 38%
6°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
2°C或更低
$0 交易量
75%
3°C
$0 交易量
22%
4°C
$207 交易量
6%
5°C
$0 交易量
38%
6°C
$0 交易量
38%
7°C
$0 交易量
38%
8°C
$0 交易量
38%
9°C
$0 交易量
14%
10°C
$0 交易量
13%
11°C
$0 交易量
14%
12°C或更高
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$207结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$207结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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