Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a warm, humid Tuesday in Chicago driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, with forecast highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent runs show modest spread around peak temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and any lake-breeze moderation that could cap readings near 78–79 °F versus allowing brief spikes to 82–83 °F. Historical September 15 averages near 76 °F provide context, while the 70 % precipitation probability introduces additional variability in realized maxima. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日芝加哥气温最高？
9月15日芝加哥气温最高？
80-81华氏度 30%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
21%
80-81华氏度
30%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
9%
90华氏度或更高
6%
80-81华氏度 30%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
71°F或以下
$10 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$10 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$2 交易量
21%
80-81华氏度
$84 交易量
30%
82-83°F
$24 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$98 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$20 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$34 交易量
9%
90华氏度或更高
$10 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a warm, humid Tuesday in Chicago driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, with forecast highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent runs show modest spread around peak temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and any lake-breeze moderation that could cap readings near 78–79 °F versus allowing brief spikes to 82–83 °F. Historical September 15 averages near 76 °F provide context, while the 70 % precipitation probability introduces additional variability in realized maxima. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$291结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a warm, humid Tuesday in Chicago driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, with forecast highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent runs show modest spread around peak temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and any lake-breeze moderation that could cap readings near 78–79 °F versus allowing brief spikes to 82–83 °F. Historical September 15 averages near 76 °F provide context, while the 70 % precipitation probability introduces additional variability in realized maxima. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$291结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a warm, humid Tuesday in Chicago driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, with forecast highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent runs show modest spread around peak temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and any lake-breeze moderation that could cap readings near 78–79 °F versus allowing brief spikes to 82–83 °F. Historical September 15 averages near 76 °F provide context, while the 70 % precipitation probability introduces additional variability in realized maxima. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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