Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug and PredictWind, indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Busan on September 15, driven by northeast winds of 7–13 mph under stable high pressure and partly cloudy skies. This reflects typical early-autumn moderation following Busan’s record-hot 2026 summer, with no active fronts or typhoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between higher and lower outcomes due to minor model spreads in overnight cooling rates and exact timing of the daily minimum, though consensus data favor values clustered around 20–22°C over extremes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日釜山气温最低?
25°C或更高 97%
15°C或以下 95%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
15°C或以下
95%
16°C
15%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C或更高
97%
25°C或更高 97%
15°C或以下 95%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
15°C或以下
95%
16°C
15%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C或更高
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug and PredictWind, indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C for Busan on September 15, driven by northeast winds of 7–13 mph under stable high pressure and partly cloudy skies. This reflects typical early-autumn moderation following Busan’s record-hot 2026 summer, with no active fronts or typhoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between higher and lower outcomes due to minor model spreads in overnight cooling rates and exact timing of the daily minimum, though consensus data favor values clustered around 20–22°C over extremes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题