Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Stable high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures have sustained daytime heating above the September climatological normal of roughly 27°C, with recent observations on the 13th reaching 29°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from KMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日釜山气温最高?
31°C 55%
30°C 28%
32°C 12%
29°C 4%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
28%
31°C
55%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 55%
30°C 28%
32°C 12%
29°C 4%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
28%
31°C
55%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Stable high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures have sustained daytime heating above the September climatological normal of roughly 27°C, with recent observations on the 13th reaching 29°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from KMA and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题