Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory observations and regional model runs showing a peak near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers. Current readings from stations including the airport and urban sites reached 29–31°C during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover. This positioning aligns with the absence of stronger warming signals or tropical cyclone influence that could push values higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late surge above 31°C or a post-event data revision by the Observatory, though proximity to resolution and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日香港气温最高？
9月13日香港气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,963 交易量
$105,963 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,963 交易量
$105,963 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
$778 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,505 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,113 交易量
<1%
28°C
$17,385 交易量
<1%
29°C
$12,367 交易量
<1%
30°C
$11,952 交易量
<1%
31°C
$19,580 交易量
100%
32°C
$24,560 交易量
<1%
33°C
$9,053 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,516 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory observations and regional model runs showing a peak near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers. Current readings from stations including the airport and urban sites reached 29–31°C during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover. This positioning aligns with the absence of stronger warming signals or tropical cyclone influence that could push values higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late surge above 31°C or a post-event data revision by the Observatory, though proximity to resolution and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$105,963结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory observations and regional model runs showing a peak near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers. Current readings from stations including the airport and urban sites reached 29–31°C during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover. This positioning aligns with the absence of stronger warming signals or tropical cyclone influence that could push values higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late surge above 31°C or a post-event data revision by the Observatory, though proximity to resolution and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$105,963结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus has converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory observations and regional model runs showing a peak near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers. Current readings from stations including the airport and urban sites reached 29–31°C during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover. This positioning aligns with the absence of stronger warming signals or tropical cyclone influence that could push values higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late surge above 31°C or a post-event data revision by the Observatory, though proximity to resolution and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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