Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 15 most likely between 28–31 °C, with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating during the seasonal transition from summer. Current conditions show highs near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, but expected thicker cloud decks and lighter winds tomorrow are projected to cap peaks slightly lower than recent days. Model consensus supports this range, though minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature predictions. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-September averages around 28–29 °C, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日武汉气温最高?
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 15%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 15%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 15 most likely between 28–31 °C, with northeast winds and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating during the seasonal transition from summer. Current conditions show highs near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, but expected thicker cloud decks and lighter winds tomorrow are projected to cap peaks slightly lower than recent days. Model consensus supports this range, though minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature predictions. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-September averages around 28–29 °C, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题