Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日巴黎气温最高？
9月14日巴黎气温最高？
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$103 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$118 交易量
7%
26°C
$821 交易量
27%
27°C
$293 交易量
37%
28°C
$651 交易量
24%
29°C
$521 交易量
8%
30°C
$80 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$118 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,710结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,710结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题