Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, promoting radiational cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17 °C range. The near-even split between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects tight model consensus around the seasonal average, while the modest probabilities for 14 °C or 17 °C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. No significant frontal passages or cloud decks are expected to alter the pattern before the daily minimum is recorded, keeping the distribution narrowly centered on typical mid-September conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日巴黎最低气温？
9月14日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 35%
15°C 33%
14°C 29%
18°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
29%
15°C
33%
16°C
35%
17°C
21%
18°C
26%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
16°C 35%
15°C 33%
14°C 29%
18°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
21%
14°C
$0 交易量
29%
15°C
$277 交易量
33%
16°C
$149 交易量
35%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, promoting radiational cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17 °C range. The near-even split between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects tight model consensus around the seasonal average, while the modest probabilities for 14 °C or 17 °C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. No significant frontal passages or cloud decks are expected to alter the pattern before the daily minimum is recorded, keeping the distribution narrowly centered on typical mid-September conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$426结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, promoting radiational cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17 °C range. The near-even split between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects tight model consensus around the seasonal average, while the modest probabilities for 14 °C or 17 °C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. No significant frontal passages or cloud decks are expected to alter the pattern before the daily minimum is recorded, keeping the distribution narrowly centered on typical mid-September conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$426结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, promoting radiational cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17 °C range. The near-even split between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects tight model consensus around the seasonal average, while the modest probabilities for 14 °C or 17 °C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. No significant frontal passages or cloud decks are expected to alter the pattern before the daily minimum is recorded, keeping the distribution narrowly centered on typical mid-September conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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