Traders see 20°C or 21°C as the most likely daily maximum in Cape Town today, with those outcomes holding roughly equal implied probabilities near 31% and 30%. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, point to an afternoon peak of 19–21°C under overcast skies and moderate southeast winds of 15–30 km/h that limit surface heating. Light drizzle or showers in the morning further suppress temperatures, while September climatology shows an average high near 18°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 22°C before resolution against the official South African Weather Service observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日开普敦气温最高？
9月12日开普敦气温最高？
20°C 34%
21°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 12%
$14,825 交易量
$14,825 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
34%
21°C
29%
22°C
12%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 34%
21°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 12%
$14,825 交易量
$14,825 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
$272 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,229 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,070 交易量
6%
19°C
$1,618 交易量
16%
20°C
$1,381 交易量
34%
21°C
$3,120 交易量
29%
22°C
$1,872 交易量
12%
23°C
$1,998 交易量
4%
24°C
$683 交易量
<1%
25°C
$408 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$175 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 20°C or 21°C as the most likely daily maximum in Cape Town today, with those outcomes holding roughly equal implied probabilities near 31% and 30%. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, point to an afternoon peak of 19–21°C under overcast skies and moderate southeast winds of 15–30 km/h that limit surface heating. Light drizzle or showers in the morning further suppress temperatures, while September climatology shows an average high near 18°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 22°C before resolution against the official South African Weather Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$14,825结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 20°C or 21°C as the most likely daily maximum in Cape Town today, with those outcomes holding roughly equal implied probabilities near 31% and 30%. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, point to an afternoon peak of 19–21°C under overcast skies and moderate southeast winds of 15–30 km/h that limit surface heating. Light drizzle or showers in the morning further suppress temperatures, while September climatology shows an average high near 18°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 22°C before resolution against the official South African Weather Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,825结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTraders see 20°C or 21°C as the most likely daily maximum in Cape Town today, with those outcomes holding roughly equal implied probabilities near 31% and 30%. Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, point to an afternoon peak of 19–21°C under overcast skies and moderate southeast winds of 15–30 km/h that limit surface heating. Light drizzle or showers in the morning further suppress temperatures, while September climatology shows an average high near 18°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 22°C before resolution against the official South African Weather Service observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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