Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private model consensus pointing to a Dallas high near 99–100 °F on September 14 under mostly clear skies and 5–15 mph winds. This setup has produced consecutive 99–101 °F readings since September 12, elevating the market-implied odds for the 98–101 °F bins while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. The climatological normal high of roughly 90 °F and an all-time September 14 record of 102 °F frame the current forecast as notably warm but within recent precedent; afternoon model updates and any late-day wind or cloud changes remain the main variables that could shift final observed maximums.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日达拉斯的最高温度？
9月14日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 8%
106-107华氏度 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
91华氏度或以下
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
4%
106-107华氏度
4%
108-109°F
2%
110华氏度或更高
2%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 8%
106-107华氏度 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
91华氏度或以下
$140 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$58 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$63 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$44 交易量
4%
98-99°F
$906 交易量
39%
100-101°F
$1,291 交易量
45%
102-103°F
$58 交易量
8%
104-105°F
$80 交易量
4%
106-107华氏度
$64 交易量
4%
108-109°F
$187 交易量
2%
110华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private model consensus pointing to a Dallas high near 99–100 °F on September 14 under mostly clear skies and 5–15 mph winds. This setup has produced consecutive 99–101 °F readings since September 12, elevating the market-implied odds for the 98–101 °F bins while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. The climatological normal high of roughly 90 °F and an all-time September 14 record of 102 °F frame the current forecast as notably warm but within recent precedent; afternoon model updates and any late-day wind or cloud changes remain the main variables that could shift final observed maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,891结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private model consensus pointing to a Dallas high near 99–100 °F on September 14 under mostly clear skies and 5–15 mph winds. This setup has produced consecutive 99–101 °F readings since September 12, elevating the market-implied odds for the 98–101 °F bins while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. The climatological normal high of roughly 90 °F and an all-time September 14 record of 102 °F frame the current forecast as notably warm but within recent precedent; afternoon model updates and any late-day wind or cloud changes remain the main variables that could shift final observed maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,891结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETPersistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private model consensus pointing to a Dallas high near 99–100 °F on September 14 under mostly clear skies and 5–15 mph winds. This setup has produced consecutive 99–101 °F readings since September 12, elevating the market-implied odds for the 98–101 °F bins while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. The climatological normal high of roughly 90 °F and an all-time September 14 record of 102 °F frame the current forecast as notably warm but within recent precedent; afternoon model updates and any late-day wind or cloud changes remain the main variables that could shift final observed maximums.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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