**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow are positioning 15°C as the dominant outcome for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 12.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS guidance, indicate the temperature will bottom out near 15–17°C amid overcast skies and moderate humidity levels around 80–90%, which limit radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with typical early-spring September climatology, where clearer skies often allow lows to reach 11–12°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show values holding above 15°C through the night, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky development expected before dawn. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 14°C, aligns with this stable, above-average minimum forecast. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日开普敦最低气温？
9月12日开普敦最低气温？
15°C 98%
14°C 95%
13°C 10%
12°C或以下 <1%
$798 交易量
$798 交易量
2026-09-12
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
10%
14°C
95%
15°C
74%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
15°C 98%
14°C 95%
13°C 10%
12°C或以下 <1%
$798 交易量
$798 交易量
2026-09-12
12°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
10%
14°C
$80 交易量
95%
15°C
$102 交易量
74%
16°C
$231 交易量
<1%
17°C
$120 交易量
<1%
18°C
$134 交易量
<1%
19°C
$35 交易量
<1%
20℃
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C
$35 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow are positioning 15°C as the dominant outcome for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 12.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS guidance, indicate the temperature will bottom out near 15–17°C amid overcast skies and moderate humidity levels around 80–90%, which limit radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with typical early-spring September climatology, where clearer skies often allow lows to reach 11–12°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show values holding above 15°C through the night, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky development expected before dawn. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 14°C, aligns with this stable, above-average minimum forecast. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$798结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow are positioning 15°C as the dominant outcome for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 12.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS guidance, indicate the temperature will bottom out near 15–17°C amid overcast skies and moderate humidity levels around 80–90%, which limit radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with typical early-spring September climatology, where clearer skies often allow lows to reach 11–12°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show values holding above 15°C through the night, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky development expected before dawn. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 14°C, aligns with this stable, above-average minimum forecast. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$798结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow are positioning 15°C as the dominant outcome for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 12.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS guidance, indicate the temperature will bottom out near 15–17°C amid overcast skies and moderate humidity levels around 80–90%, which limit radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with typical early-spring September climatology, where clearer skies often allow lows to reach 11–12°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show values holding above 15°C through the night, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky development expected before dawn. Trader consensus, reflected in the 74% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 14°C, aligns with this stable, above-average minimum forecast. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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