Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 13 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range under a stable high-pressure system near 1025 hPa, with light northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring moderate radiative cooling. This setup places 14°C and 15°C as the market leaders, consistent with the current mild air mass and absence of stronger cold advection. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet the present pattern keeps temperatures elevated. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日巴黎最低气温?
14°C 43%
15°C 33%
13°C 14%
16°C 13%
9°C或以下
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
8%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
43%
15°C
33%
16°C
13%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
2%
14°C 43%
15°C 33%
13°C 14%
16°C 13%
9°C或以下
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
8%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
43%
15°C
33%
16°C
13%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 13 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range under a stable high-pressure system near 1025 hPa, with light northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring moderate radiative cooling. This setup places 14°C and 15°C as the market leaders, consistent with the current mild air mass and absence of stronger cold advection. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet the present pattern keeps temperatures elevated. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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