Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 16 indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore flow, a moderate marine layer, and limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical September averages near 56°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth from recent days. Trader sentiment clusters around 58–61°F buckets because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees across official stations. The elevated probability on 68°F or higher captures residual uncertainty if stronger mixing or delayed cooling occurs, though current model consensus favors the mid-to-upper 50s range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日旧金山最低气温？
9月16日旧金山最低气温？
68华氏度或更高 92%
58-59°F 65%
54-55°F 39%
62-63华氏度 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
49°F或以下
18%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
65%
60-61°F
20%
62-63华氏度
39%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68华氏度或更高
92%
68华氏度或更高 92%
58-59°F 65%
54-55°F 39%
62-63华氏度 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
49°F或以下
$0 交易量
18%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
1%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
32%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
39%
56-57°F
$88 交易量
14%
58-59°F
$138 交易量
65%
60-61°F
$8 交易量
20%
62-63华氏度
$0 交易量
39%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
8%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
1%
68华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 16 indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore flow, a moderate marine layer, and limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical September averages near 56°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth from recent days. Trader sentiment clusters around 58–61°F buckets because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees across official stations. The elevated probability on 68°F or higher captures residual uncertainty if stronger mixing or delayed cooling occurs, though current model consensus favors the mid-to-upper 50s range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 16 indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore flow, a moderate marine layer, and limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical September averages near 56°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth from recent days. Trader sentiment clusters around 58–61°F buckets because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees across official stations. The elevated probability on 68°F or higher captures residual uncertainty if stronger mixing or delayed cooling occurs, though current model consensus favors the mid-to-upper 50s range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 16 indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore flow, a moderate marine layer, and limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions align with historical September averages near 56°F while reflecting slightly above-normal warmth from recent days. Trader sentiment clusters around 58–61°F buckets because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees across official stations. The elevated probability on 68°F or higher captures residual uncertainty if stronger mixing or delayed cooling occurs, though current model consensus favors the mid-to-upper 50s range. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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