Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a daytime high of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September when regional highs average near 28°C, has kept trader consensus firmly on 28°C (61.5% implied probability) with 29°C as the next most likely outcome. Stable steering flow and lack of strong solar heating or frontal passages have limited upside potential above 30°C, while model agreement reduces the chance of cooler readings near 27°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日上海气温最高？
9月16日上海气温最高？
28°C 62%
29°C 27%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
最新
$20,075 交易量
最新
$20,075 交易量
2026-09-16
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
62%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 62%
29°C 27%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
最新
$20,075 交易量
最新
$20,075 交易量
2026-09-16
23℃或以下
$679 交易量
<1%
24°C
$563 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,282 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,618 交易量
2%
27°C
$5,000 交易量
9%
28°C
$4,387 交易量
62%
29°C
$2,495 交易量
27%
30°C
$1,307 交易量
3%
31°C
$934 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,008 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$804 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a daytime high of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September when regional highs average near 28°C, has kept trader consensus firmly on 28°C (61.5% implied probability) with 29°C as the next most likely outcome. Stable steering flow and lack of strong solar heating or frontal passages have limited upside potential above 30°C, while model agreement reduces the chance of cooler readings near 27°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$20,075结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a daytime high of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September when regional highs average near 28°C, has kept trader consensus firmly on 28°C (61.5% implied probability) with 29°C as the next most likely outcome. Stable steering flow and lack of strong solar heating or frontal passages have limited upside potential above 30°C, while model agreement reduces the chance of cooler readings near 27°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,075结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a daytime high of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September when regional highs average near 28°C, has kept trader consensus firmly on 28°C (61.5% implied probability) with 29°C as the next most likely outcome. Stable steering flow and lack of strong solar heating or frontal passages have limited upside potential above 30°C, while model agreement reduces the chance of cooler readings near 27°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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