Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 17, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under autumnal solar angles. This aligns with climatological norms near 15°C for mid-September while reflecting a brief warm anomaly from upstream Atlantic air masses. Trader positioning favors 17°C at 52.5% implied probability due to model runs clustering at the upper end of the range, with 16°C at 38% capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments ahead of the 17th will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日赫尔辛基的最高温度?
17°C 53%
16°C 39%
18°C 7%
15°C 3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
53%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
17°C 53%
16°C 39%
18°C 7%
15°C 3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
53%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 17, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under autumnal solar angles. This aligns with climatological norms near 15°C for mid-September while reflecting a brief warm anomaly from upstream Atlantic air masses. Trader positioning favors 17°C at 52.5% implied probability due to model runs clustering at the upper end of the range, with 16°C at 38% capturing residual uncertainty in cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments ahead of the 17th will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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