Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日香港气温最高？
9月16日香港气温最高？
31°C 50%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
最新
$40,231 交易量
最新
$40,231 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
29%
31°C
50%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
最新
$40,231 交易量
最新
$40,231 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$704 交易量
<1%
26°C
$251 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,346 交易量
<1%
28°C
$18,914 交易量
1%
29°C
$3,621 交易量
5%
30°C
$2,188 交易量
29%
31°C
$3,782 交易量
50%
32°C
$3,327 交易量
19%
33°C
$3,442 交易量
1%
34°C
$714 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,941 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$40,231结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,231结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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