Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日多伦多气温最高？
9月15日多伦多气温最高？
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
37%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C或更高
13%
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
17°C
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$5 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$79 交易量
6%
22°C
$784 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C
$458 交易量
28%
25°C
$342 交易量
14%
26°C或更高
$8 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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