Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Toronto on September 15, with southerly winds advecting warmer air and widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, keeping lows near 15–19°C. This setup creates tight competition between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes in the market, as small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September 15 lows average 13.9°C, but current guidance shows above-normal warmth from a persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official overnight observations that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日多伦多最低气温？
9月15日多伦多最低气温？
8°C或以下 78%
18°C或更高 78%
13°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
8°C或以下
78%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
12%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C或更高
78%
8°C或以下 78%
18°C或更高 78%
13°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
78%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$18 交易量
12%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Toronto on September 15, with southerly winds advecting warmer air and widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, keeping lows near 15–19°C. This setup creates tight competition between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes in the market, as small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September 15 lows average 13.9°C, but current guidance shows above-normal warmth from a persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Toronto on September 15, with southerly winds advecting warmer air and widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, keeping lows near 15–19°C. This setup creates tight competition between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes in the market, as small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September 15 lows average 13.9°C, but current guidance shows above-normal warmth from a persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official overnight observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Toronto on September 15, with southerly winds advecting warmer air and widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, keeping lows near 15–19°C. This setup creates tight competition between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes in the market, as small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September 15 lows average 13.9°C, but current guidance shows above-normal warmth from a persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated model runs and official overnight observations that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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