**Latest official forecasts position a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, aligning with the market’s 56% implied probability for that exact threshold.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced by sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services, indicate partly cloudy to scattered cloud conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system, with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup follows typical early-September climatology in the region, where average highs hover near 27°C amid gradual seasonal cooling and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence. Recent observations show consistent 28–30°C maxima over the prior days without significant model divergence, supporting trader consensus around the 28–29°C range while assigning low odds to outliers like 30°C or below 28°C. Updated model guidance and any overnight pressure changes remain the key near-term variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日上海气温最高？
9月14日上海气温最高？
29°C 57%
28°C 37%
30°C 6%
27°C 4%
最新
$11,840 交易量
最新
$11,840 交易量
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
37%
29°C
57%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 37%
30°C 6%
27°C 4%
最新
$11,840 交易量
最新
$11,840 交易量
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
$98 交易量
<1%
25°C
$98 交易量
<1%
26°C
$176 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,121 交易量
4%
28°C
$3,020 交易量
37%
29°C
$3,344 交易量
57%
30°C
$1,486 交易量
6%
31°C
$1,166 交易量
2%
32°C
$78 交易量
<1%
33°C
$70 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, aligning with the market’s 56% implied probability for that exact threshold.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced by sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services, indicate partly cloudy to scattered cloud conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system, with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup follows typical early-September climatology in the region, where average highs hover near 27°C amid gradual seasonal cooling and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence. Recent observations show consistent 28–30°C maxima over the prior days without significant model divergence, supporting trader consensus around the 28–29°C range while assigning low odds to outliers like 30°C or below 28°C. Updated model guidance and any overnight pressure changes remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,840结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, aligning with the market’s 56% implied probability for that exact threshold.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced by sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services, indicate partly cloudy to scattered cloud conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system, with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup follows typical early-September climatology in the region, where average highs hover near 27°C amid gradual seasonal cooling and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence. Recent observations show consistent 28–30°C maxima over the prior days without significant model divergence, supporting trader consensus around the 28–29°C range while assigning low odds to outliers like 30°C or below 28°C. Updated model guidance and any overnight pressure changes remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,840结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest official forecasts position a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, aligning with the market’s 56% implied probability for that exact threshold.** Multiple model runs, including those referenced by sources like the Met Office and regional meteorological services, indicate partly cloudy to scattered cloud conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system, with light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup follows typical early-September climatology in the region, where average highs hover near 27°C amid gradual seasonal cooling and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence. Recent observations show consistent 28–30°C maxima over the prior days without significant model divergence, supporting trader consensus around the 28–29°C range while assigning low odds to outliers like 30°C or below 28°C. Updated model guidance and any overnight pressure changes remain the key near-term variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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