Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 settling near 23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity around 70–85%. These conditions favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C, though residual moisture and variable wind speeds create tight uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities, weighs recent model consensus and historical September minima around 20–22°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern. Updated runs tonight will clarify any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日上海最低气温？
9月14日上海最低气温？
23°C 47%
24°C 46%
25°C 6%
22°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
47%
24°C
46%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 46%
25°C 6%
22°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
$100 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,772 交易量
5%
23°C
$2,587 交易量
47%
24°C
$3,144 交易量
46%
25°C
$1,186 交易量
6%
26°C
$108 交易量
1%
27°C
$202 交易量
<1%
28°C
$223 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 settling near 23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity around 70–85%. These conditions favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C, though residual moisture and variable wind speeds create tight uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities, weighs recent model consensus and historical September minima around 20–22°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern. Updated runs tonight will clarify any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,422结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 settling near 23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity around 70–85%. These conditions favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C, though residual moisture and variable wind speeds create tight uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities, weighs recent model consensus and historical September minima around 20–22°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern. Updated runs tonight will clarify any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,422结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 settling near 23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity around 70–85%. These conditions favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C, though residual moisture and variable wind speeds create tight uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities, weighs recent model consensus and historical September minima around 20–22°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern. Updated runs tonight will clarify any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题