Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a daytime high in Warsaw near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's strong preference for 20°C. This range reflects the typical mid-September cooling trend after peak summer warmth, when average highs decline from the low 20s toward the mid-teens by month's end, combined with current atmospheric conditions that suppress both significant warming and sharp drops. Low probabilities for 21°C or higher stem from limited insolation and moderate winds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Official station data at resolution time will determine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日华沙的最高温度？
9月13日华沙的最高温度？
20°C 65%
21°C 42%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
$21,686 交易量
$21,686 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
65%
21°C
34%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 65%
21°C 42%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
$21,686 交易量
$21,686 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
15°C
$134 交易量
<1%
16°C
$137 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,632 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,691 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,579 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,170 交易量
65%
21°C
$3,043 交易量
34%
22°C
$1,407 交易量
2%
23°C
$323 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$505 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a daytime high in Warsaw near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's strong preference for 20°C. This range reflects the typical mid-September cooling trend after peak summer warmth, when average highs decline from the low 20s toward the mid-teens by month's end, combined with current atmospheric conditions that suppress both significant warming and sharp drops. Low probabilities for 21°C or higher stem from limited insolation and moderate winds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Official station data at resolution time will determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$21,686结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a daytime high in Warsaw near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's strong preference for 20°C. This range reflects the typical mid-September cooling trend after peak summer warmth, when average highs decline from the low 20s toward the mid-teens by month's end, combined with current atmospheric conditions that suppress both significant warming and sharp drops. Low probabilities for 21°C or higher stem from limited insolation and moderate winds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Official station data at resolution time will determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,686结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS indicate a daytime high in Warsaw near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's strong preference for 20°C. This range reflects the typical mid-September cooling trend after peak summer warmth, when average highs decline from the low 20s toward the mid-teens by month's end, combined with current atmospheric conditions that suppress both significant warming and sharp drops. Low probabilities for 21°C or higher stem from limited insolation and moderate winds, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Official station data at resolution time will determine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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