Trader consensus around 24–26°C for Chengdu’s September 13 maximum reflects closely aligned numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Recent observations indicate cool, moist air masses with highs near 23–24°C on September 12, while model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) projects modest warming to the mid-20s amid light winds and 60–70% precipitation chances that suppress peak temperatures. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–27°C, but the current pattern—marked by higher humidity and reduced solar insolation—favors the lower end of that range. Minor model spread in timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日成都气温最高？
9月13日成都气温最高？
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
23°C 15%
最新
$10,698 交易量
最新
$10,698 交易量
2026-09-13
20℃或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
23°C 15%
最新
$10,698 交易量
最新
$10,698 交易量
2026-09-13
20℃或以下
$1,440 交易量
<1%
21°C
$162 交易量
1%
22°C
$248 交易量
4%
23°C
$1,242 交易量
15%
24°C
$3,106 交易量
27%
25°C
$1,508 交易量
30%
26°C
$1,105 交易量
20%
27°C
$942 交易量
7%
28°C
$380 交易量
2%
29°C
$344 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–26°C for Chengdu’s September 13 maximum reflects closely aligned numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Recent observations indicate cool, moist air masses with highs near 23–24°C on September 12, while model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) projects modest warming to the mid-20s amid light winds and 60–70% precipitation chances that suppress peak temperatures. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–27°C, but the current pattern—marked by higher humidity and reduced solar insolation—favors the lower end of that range. Minor model spread in timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,698结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–26°C for Chengdu’s September 13 maximum reflects closely aligned numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Recent observations indicate cool, moist air masses with highs near 23–24°C on September 12, while model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) projects modest warming to the mid-20s amid light winds and 60–70% precipitation chances that suppress peak temperatures. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–27°C, but the current pattern—marked by higher humidity and reduced solar insolation—favors the lower end of that range. Minor model spread in timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,698结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus around 24–26°C for Chengdu’s September 13 maximum reflects closely aligned numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Recent observations indicate cool, moist air masses with highs near 23–24°C on September 12, while model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) projects modest warming to the mid-20s amid light winds and 60–70% precipitation chances that suppress peak temperatures. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–27°C, but the current pattern—marked by higher humidity and reduced solar insolation—favors the lower end of that range. Minor model spread in timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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