Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 25–27°C in Chengdu on September 14, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover likely moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Recent days have featured cooler, wetter conditions that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms, but reduced precipitation chances and lighter winds on the 14th could allow brief afternoon warming. Key variables include the timing of any cloud breaks, humidity levels around 65–75%, and exact steering patterns, which explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–28°C rather than showing a dominant outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日成都气温最高？
9月14日成都气温最高？
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
14%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C或更高
3%
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$89 交易量
5%
23°C
$7 交易量
7%
24°C
$25 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
23%
27°C
$66 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
3%
32°C或更高
$6 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 25–27°C in Chengdu on September 14, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover likely moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Recent days have featured cooler, wetter conditions that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms, but reduced precipitation chances and lighter winds on the 14th could allow brief afternoon warming. Key variables include the timing of any cloud breaks, humidity levels around 65–75%, and exact steering patterns, which explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–28°C rather than showing a dominant outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$192结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 25–27°C in Chengdu on September 14, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover likely moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Recent days have featured cooler, wetter conditions that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms, but reduced precipitation chances and lighter winds on the 14th could allow brief afternoon warming. Key variables include the timing of any cloud breaks, humidity levels around 65–75%, and exact steering patterns, which explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–28°C rather than showing a dominant outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$192结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 25–27°C in Chengdu on September 14, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover likely moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Recent days have featured cooler, wetter conditions that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms, but reduced precipitation chances and lighter winds on the 14th could allow brief afternoon warming. Key variables include the timing of any cloud breaks, humidity levels around 65–75%, and exact steering patterns, which explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–28°C rather than showing a dominant outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题