**Current observational data and forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds maintaining stable conditions.** This aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 28–30°C absent major synoptic shifts like typhoon influences or strong warm advection. Multiple model runs show limited diurnal variability and no significant deviation from baseline measurements at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this strong convergence, with minimal implied probability for outliers. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting site could realistically alter the exact threshold, though such shifts appear improbable given the current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日上海气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,342 交易量
$68,342 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,342 交易量
$68,342 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current observational data and forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds maintaining stable conditions.** This aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 28–30°C absent major synoptic shifts like typhoon influences or strong warm advection. Multiple model runs show limited diurnal variability and no significant deviation from baseline measurements at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this strong convergence, with minimal implied probability for outliers. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized measurement variance at the primary reporting site could realistically alter the exact threshold, though such shifts appear improbable given the current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题