Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by KNMI observations at Schiphol, indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus aligns with the 19.5°C climatological average high and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (62% implied probability) and 20°C (19.5%). Midday readings hovering around 18–19°C with minimal afternoon warming reinforce trader expectations, while historical extremes above 22°C remain unlikely given the stable Atlantic flow. Final resolution depends on the official 24-hour maximum reported by monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月13日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 88%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$37,419 交易量
$37,419 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
88%
22°C
12%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
21°C 88%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$37,419 交易量
$37,419 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$137 交易量
<1%
15°C
$121 交易量
<1%
16°C
$887 交易量
<1%
17°C
$25 交易量
<1%
18°C
$260 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,041 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,155 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7,990 交易量
88%
22°C
$5,442 交易量
12%
23°C
$2,799 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$1,561 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by KNMI observations at Schiphol, indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus aligns with the 19.5°C climatological average high and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (62% implied probability) and 20°C (19.5%). Midday readings hovering around 18–19°C with minimal afternoon warming reinforce trader expectations, while historical extremes above 22°C remain unlikely given the stable Atlantic flow. Final resolution depends on the official 24-hour maximum reported by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,419结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by KNMI observations at Schiphol, indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus aligns with the 19.5°C climatological average high and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (62% implied probability) and 20°C (19.5%). Midday readings hovering around 18–19°C with minimal afternoon warming reinforce trader expectations, while historical extremes above 22°C remain unlikely given the stable Atlantic flow. Final resolution depends on the official 24-hour maximum reported by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,419结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by KNMI observations at Schiphol, indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus aligns with the 19.5°C climatological average high and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (62% implied probability) and 20°C (19.5%). Midday readings hovering around 18–19°C with minimal afternoon warming reinforce trader expectations, while historical extremes above 22°C remain unlikely given the stable Atlantic flow. Final resolution depends on the official 24-hour maximum reported by monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题