Recent forecasts from models such as GFS show Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 13 settling near 14–15 °C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 14–16 °C reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow of mild Atlantic air have suppressed clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures above the seasonal average low of 11 °C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the diurnal range, while any late-day clearing or wind shift could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 13 °C or hold readings near 16 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine the precise minimum before markets resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
12°C或以下 99%
17°C 92%
16°C 51%
13°C 48%
$518 交易量
$518 交易量
12°C或以下
99%
13°C
48%
14°C
-
15°C
27%
16°C
51%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
12°C或以下 99%
17°C 92%
16°C 51%
13°C 48%
$518 交易量
$518 交易量
12°C或以下
99%
13°C
48%
14°C
-
15°C
27%
16°C
51%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models such as GFS show Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 13 settling near 14–15 °C, with trader odds clustered tightly around 14–16 °C reflecting model consensus on limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly flow of mild Atlantic air have suppressed clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures above the seasonal average low of 11 °C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the diurnal range, while any late-day clearing or wind shift could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 13 °C or hold readings near 16 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will determine the precise minimum before markets resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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