Official meteorological observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco area recorded a daily maximum of 70–71°F on September 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term September average high of 70.7°F. Mild onshore flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and the absence of anomalous warming or marine layer suppression kept temperatures within this narrow band, consistent with climatological norms and recent model guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these verified measurements for market resolution. Only a substantial revision in official data or use of an atypical station could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日旧金山气温最高？
9月12日旧金山气温最高？
70-71华氏度 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$30,625 交易量
$30,625 交易量
2026-09-12
59°F或以下
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69华氏度
否
70-71华氏度
是
72-73°F
否
74-75华氏度
否
76-77°F
否
78°F或更高
否
70-71华氏度 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$30,625 交易量
$30,625 交易量
2026-09-12
59°F或以下
$353 交易量
否
60-61°F
$227 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,173 交易量
否
64-65°F
$3,635 交易量
否
66-67°F
$2,746 交易量
否
68-69华氏度
$4,612 交易量
否
70-71华氏度
$4,309 交易量
是
72-73°F
$2,670 交易量
否
74-75华氏度
$2,059 交易量
否
76-77°F
$5,575 交易量
否
78°F或更高
$3,267 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco area recorded a daily maximum of 70–71°F on September 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term September average high of 70.7°F. Mild onshore flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and the absence of anomalous warming or marine layer suppression kept temperatures within this narrow band, consistent with climatological norms and recent model guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these verified measurements for market resolution. Only a substantial revision in official data or use of an atypical station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,625结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco area recorded a daily maximum of 70–71°F on September 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term September average high of 70.7°F. Mild onshore flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and the absence of anomalous warming or marine layer suppression kept temperatures within this narrow band, consistent with climatological norms and recent model guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these verified measurements for market resolution. Only a substantial revision in official data or use of an atypical station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,625结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco area recorded a daily maximum of 70–71°F on September 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the long-term September average high of 70.7°F. Mild onshore flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and the absence of anomalous warming or marine layer suppression kept temperatures within this narrow band, consistent with climatological norms and recent model guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these verified measurements for market resolution. Only a substantial revision in official data or use of an atypical station could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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