Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
6°C或以下 88%
16°C或更高 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
6°C或以下
88%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C或更高
88%
6°C或以下 88%
16°C或更高 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
6°C或以下
$0 交易量
88%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
21%
9°C
$0 交易量
22%
10°C
$0 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
21%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C或更高
$0 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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