Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chongqing for September 16 centers on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting tight spreads in global ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS amid seasonal cooling. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime heating, plus topographic channeling of cooler air from surrounding highlands and the Yangtze River valley. Model differences in predicted wind advection and urban heat-island intensity create the narrow probability gap between 20°C and 23°C thresholds. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update with new observational data and model runs over the next 48 hours, potentially sharpening resolution criteria based on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日重庆气温最高？
9月16日重庆气温最高？
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
26%
23°C
14%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
23°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$31 交易量
7%
20°C
$197 交易量
19%
21°C
$3 交易量
28%
22°C
$61 交易量
26%
23°C
$165 交易量
14%
24°C
$0 交易量
7%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$16 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chongqing for September 16 centers on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting tight spreads in global ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS amid seasonal cooling. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime heating, plus topographic channeling of cooler air from surrounding highlands and the Yangtze River valley. Model differences in predicted wind advection and urban heat-island intensity create the narrow probability gap between 20°C and 23°C thresholds. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update with new observational data and model runs over the next 48 hours, potentially sharpening resolution criteria based on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$489结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chongqing for September 16 centers on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting tight spreads in global ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS amid seasonal cooling. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime heating, plus topographic channeling of cooler air from surrounding highlands and the Yangtze River valley. Model differences in predicted wind advection and urban heat-island intensity create the narrow probability gap between 20°C and 23°C thresholds. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update with new observational data and model runs over the next 48 hours, potentially sharpening resolution criteria based on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$489结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus on the highest temperature in Chongqing for September 16 centers on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting tight spreads in global ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS amid seasonal cooling. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that modulate daytime heating, plus topographic channeling of cooler air from surrounding highlands and the Yangtze River valley. Model differences in predicted wind advection and urban heat-island intensity create the narrow probability gap between 20°C and 23°C thresholds. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update with new observational data and model runs over the next 48 hours, potentially sharpening resolution criteria based on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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