**Mild southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest across the New York City area, supporting market-implied odds clustered around a 62–65°F low for September 16.** Light winds (generally 5–10 mph) and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limit the temperature drop after sunset, while the absence of strong cold advection or significant cloud cover prevents either sharp cooling or strong insulation. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts place the daily minimum in the low-to-mid 60s, consistent with climatological norms near 61.6°F and recent stable conditions under weak high pressure. Traders appear to be weighting the balance between these factors, with the narrow spread between the top two bins reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind shifts through the night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日纽约市的最低温度？
9月16日纽约市的最低温度？
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 40%
56-57°F 15.8%
68-69华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
8%
68-69华氏度
8%
70-71华氏度
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
<1%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 40%
56-57°F 15.8%
68-69华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
55°F或以下
$193 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$112 交易量
16%
58-59°F
$379 交易量
4%
60-61°F
$345 交易量
7%
62-63°F
$762 交易量
40%
64-65°F
$613 交易量
42%
66-67°F
$543 交易量
8%
68-69华氏度
$23 交易量
8%
70-71华氏度
$5 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$49 交易量
1%
74°F或更高
$54 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest across the New York City area, supporting market-implied odds clustered around a 62–65°F low for September 16.**
Light winds (generally 5–10 mph) and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limit the temperature drop after sunset, while the absence of strong cold advection or significant cloud cover prevents either sharp cooling or strong insulation. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts place the daily minimum in the low-to-mid 60s, consistent with climatological norms near 61.6°F and recent stable conditions under weak high pressure. Traders appear to be weighting the balance between these factors, with the narrow spread between the top two bins reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind shifts through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,079结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest across the New York City area, supporting market-implied odds clustered around a 62–65°F low for September 16.**
Light winds (generally 5–10 mph) and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limit the temperature drop after sunset, while the absence of strong cold advection or significant cloud cover prevents either sharp cooling or strong insulation. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts place the daily minimum in the low-to-mid 60s, consistent with climatological norms near 61.6°F and recent stable conditions under weak high pressure. Traders appear to be weighting the balance between these factors, with the narrow spread between the top two bins reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind shifts through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,079结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Mild southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest across the New York City area, supporting market-implied odds clustered around a 62–65°F low for September 16.** Light winds (generally 5–10 mph) and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limit the temperature drop after sunset, while the absence of strong cold advection or significant cloud cover prevents either sharp cooling or strong insulation. Latest model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts place the daily minimum in the low-to-mid 60s, consistent with climatological norms near 61.6°F and recent stable conditions under weak high pressure. Traders appear to be weighting the balance between these factors, with the narrow spread between the top two bins reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind shifts through the night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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