Recent forecast model runs highlight northerly winds advecting warmer air masses into the region, supporting a daily maximum near 24–26°C on September 17 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market-implied 85.5% probability concentrated on 25°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing temperatures exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include precise wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model spread potentially shifting outcomes toward 24°C or 26°C+. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market once final hourly observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
9月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
25°C 65%
26°C或更高 21%
24°C 10%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
65%
26°C或更高
21%
25°C 65%
26°C或更高 21%
24°C 10%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
$89 交易量
<1%
17°C
$89 交易量
<1%
18°C
$219 交易量
<1%
19°C
$189 交易量
<1%
20°C
$294 交易量
1%
21°C
$370 交易量
1%
22°C
$260 交易量
2%
23°C
$697 交易量
5%
24°C
$728 交易量
10%
25°C
$1,490 交易量
65%
26°C或更高
$878 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight northerly winds advecting warmer air masses into the region, supporting a daily maximum near 24–26°C on September 17 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market-implied 85.5% probability concentrated on 25°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing temperatures exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include precise wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model spread potentially shifting outcomes toward 24°C or 26°C+. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market once final hourly observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,302结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight northerly winds advecting warmer air masses into the region, supporting a daily maximum near 24–26°C on September 17 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market-implied 85.5% probability concentrated on 25°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing temperatures exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include precise wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model spread potentially shifting outcomes toward 24°C or 26°C+. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market once final hourly observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,302结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecast model runs highlight northerly winds advecting warmer air masses into the region, supporting a daily maximum near 24–26°C on September 17 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the market-implied 85.5% probability concentrated on 25°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing temperatures exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include precise wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model spread potentially shifting outcomes toward 24°C or 26°C+. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market once final hourly observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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