Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light precipitation chances. This setup favors the 70-71°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%, followed by 68-69°F, reflecting traders' weighting of forecast stability two days out versus typical model spread in early-fall transition patterns. Historical September lows average around 61°F, but the current warmer, more stable regime has kept probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s. Updated model runs and evening briefings from the NWS New York office represent the next key catalysts likely to refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日纽约市最低气温？
9月18日纽约市最低气温？
70-71华氏度 47%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
61°F或以下
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
29%
70-71华氏度
47%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80华氏度或更高
1%
70-71华氏度 47%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
61°F或以下
$0 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
19%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
29%
70-71华氏度
$510 交易量
47%
72-73°F
$291 交易量
19%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
1%
80华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light precipitation chances. This setup favors the 70-71°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%, followed by 68-69°F, reflecting traders' weighting of forecast stability two days out versus typical model spread in early-fall transition patterns. Historical September lows average around 61°F, but the current warmer, more stable regime has kept probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s. Updated model runs and evening briefings from the NWS New York office represent the next key catalysts likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light precipitation chances. This setup favors the 70-71°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%, followed by 68-69°F, reflecting traders' weighting of forecast stability two days out versus typical model spread in early-fall transition patterns. Historical September lows average around 61°F, but the current warmer, more stable regime has kept probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s. Updated model runs and evening briefings from the NWS New York office represent the next key catalysts likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light precipitation chances. This setup favors the 70-71°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome at 45.5%, followed by 68-69°F, reflecting traders' weighting of forecast stability two days out versus typical model spread in early-fall transition patterns. Historical September lows average around 61°F, but the current warmer, more stable regime has kept probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s. Updated model runs and evening briefings from the NWS New York office represent the next key catalysts likely to refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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