Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and regional analyses, indicate a daytime maximum in Milan of 26–28°C on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. A warm, stable airmass persists ahead of an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, supporting peak readings near 27°C during afternoon hours before increasing cloud cover and scattered showers develop later in the day. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (56.5%) and 28°C (34.0%), while the modest probability for 26°C reflects potential for earlier cooling from precipitation. Historical September maxima in the Po Valley average near 24°C, but the current pattern has sustained above-normal warmth. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service briefings on Wednesday morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日米兰的最高温度?
27°C 61%
28°C 30%
26°C 10%
31°C 2%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
61%
28°C
30%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 61%
28°C 30%
26°C 10%
31°C 2%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
61%
28°C
30%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and regional analyses, indicate a daytime maximum in Milan of 26–28°C on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. A warm, stable airmass persists ahead of an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, supporting peak readings near 27°C during afternoon hours before increasing cloud cover and scattered showers develop later in the day. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (56.5%) and 28°C (34.0%), while the modest probability for 26°C reflects potential for earlier cooling from precipitation. Historical September maxima in the Po Valley average near 24°C, but the current pattern has sustained above-normal warmth. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service briefings on Wednesday morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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