Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日成都气温最高？
9月15日成都气温最高？
22°C 32%
21°C 22%
23°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
1%
17℃
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
22%
22°C
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
10%
25°C
5%
26°C或更高
1%
22°C 32%
21°C 22%
23°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
$22 交易量
1%
17℃
$22 交易量
1%
18°C
$20 交易量
3%
19°C
$29 交易量
3%
20°C
$240 交易量
9%
21°C
$234 交易量
22%
22°C
$564 交易量
32%
23°C
$648 交易量
22%
24°C
$276 交易量
10%
25°C
$22 交易量
5%
26°C或更高
$23 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$2,099结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,099结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRecent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rain across the Sichuan basin on September 15 will limit daytime heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 21–23°C. Multiple model runs show 70–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity reducing solar insolation, with highs suppressed relative to the seasonal 25–27°C average. Differences among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of heaviest rainfall and any brief clearing windows that could allow brief warming. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of mid-September frontal passages, where similar conditions have produced maxima clustered in this narrow range. Updated numerical guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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