**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.** Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日成都最低气温？
9月15日成都最低气温？
24°C或更高 75%
23°C 39%
15°C 38%
14℃或以下 37.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
14℃或以下
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20℃
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C或更高
75%
24°C或更高 75%
23°C 39%
15°C 38%
14℃或以下 37.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
14℃或以下
$10 交易量
38%
15°C
$76 交易量
38%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
23%
20℃
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
21%
22°C
$12 交易量
9%
23°C
$10 交易量
39%
24°C或更高
$10 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.**
Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$118结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.**
Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$118结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.** Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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