Current National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under continued warm, moist southerly flow with dew points near 75°F, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a daily minimum near 78–80°F on September 17. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (40–50 percent) and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier convection could enhance cooling while clearer skies would keep readings higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 78–83°F bins, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the low-level jet overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日休斯顿最低温度?
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 42%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 19%
73华氏度或以下
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
5%
92°F或更高
5%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 42%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 19%
73华氏度或以下
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
5%
92°F或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under continued warm, moist southerly flow with dew points near 75°F, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a daily minimum near 78–80°F on September 17. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (40–50 percent) and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier convection could enhance cooling while clearer skies would keep readings higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 78–83°F bins, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and the strength of the low-level jet overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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