Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover over Beijing on September 15, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating and highs centered near 29°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability for that threshold, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.5°C but well below the September 15 record of 31.9°C. Stable high pressure and dry air masses are limiting convective cooling and moisture effects, while model consensus shows little disagreement on intensification of warmth through the afternoon. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamics against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日北京气温最高？
9月15日北京气温最高？
29°C 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
47%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C或以上
1%
29°C 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
25°C或以下
$35 交易量
4%
26°C
$10 交易量
4%
27°C
$5 交易量
7%
28°C
$199 交易量
15%
29°C
$940 交易量
47%
30°C
$1 交易量
27%
31°C
$4 交易量
8%
32°C
$22 交易量
3%
33°C
$47 交易量
3%
34°C
$10 交易量
7%
35°C或以上
$2 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover over Beijing on September 15, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating and highs centered near 29°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability for that threshold, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.5°C but well below the September 15 record of 31.9°C. Stable high pressure and dry air masses are limiting convective cooling and moisture effects, while model consensus shows little disagreement on intensification of warmth through the afternoon. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamics against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,275结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover over Beijing on September 15, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating and highs centered near 29°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability for that threshold, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.5°C but well below the September 15 record of 31.9°C. Stable high pressure and dry air masses are limiting convective cooling and moisture effects, while model consensus shows little disagreement on intensification of warmth through the afternoon. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamics against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,275结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover over Beijing on September 15, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating and highs centered near 29°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability for that threshold, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.5°C but well below the September 15 record of 31.9°C. Stable high pressure and dry air masses are limiting convective cooling and moisture effects, while model consensus shows little disagreement on intensification of warmth through the afternoon. Traders appear to weigh these short-term dynamics against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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