Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project Beijing's overnight low on September 15 near 18°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This stable pattern, with no approaching frontal systems or significant moisture, supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring both sub-10°C extremes and 19°C-plus outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Historical averages place the date's low at 16.2°C, while recent observations show mild conditions with minimal temperature anomalies. Updated global model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around specific thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日北京最低气温？
9月15日北京最低气温？
9°C或以下 80%
19°C或更高 75%
18°C 39%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
9°C或以下
80%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
20%
13°C
21%
14°C
30%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
39%
19°C或更高
75%
9°C或以下 80%
19°C或更高 75%
18°C 39%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
9°C或以下
$10 交易量
80%
10°C
$0 交易量
5%
11°C
$0 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
20%
13°C
$0 交易量
21%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$10 交易量
39%
19°C或更高
$10 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project Beijing's overnight low on September 15 near 18°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This stable pattern, with no approaching frontal systems or significant moisture, supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring both sub-10°C extremes and 19°C-plus outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Historical averages place the date's low at 16.2°C, while recent observations show mild conditions with minimal temperature anomalies. Updated global model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project Beijing's overnight low on September 15 near 18°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This stable pattern, with no approaching frontal systems or significant moisture, supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring both sub-10°C extremes and 19°C-plus outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Historical averages place the date's low at 16.2°C, while recent observations show mild conditions with minimal temperature anomalies. Updated global model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project Beijing's overnight low on September 15 near 18°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This stable pattern, with no approaching frontal systems or significant moisture, supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring both sub-10°C extremes and 19°C-plus outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Historical averages place the date's low at 16.2°C, while recent observations show mild conditions with minimal temperature anomalies. Updated global model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around specific thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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