Trader consensus centers on minimum temperatures of 70–73°F for New York City on September 17, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and dew points near 65–70°F that limit overnight radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows around 70–72°F ahead of any frontal passage. Differentiation among the tightly matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinges on subtle variations in cloud thickness, wind speeds, and localized shower timing that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 62°F underscore the anomalous warmth from this persistent pattern, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour observational window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日纽约市的最低温度?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 15%
61°F或更低
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80华氏度或更高
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 15%
61°F或更低
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on minimum temperatures of 70–73°F for New York City on September 17, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and dew points near 65–70°F that limit overnight radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows around 70–72°F ahead of any frontal passage. Differentiation among the tightly matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinges on subtle variations in cloud thickness, wind speeds, and localized shower timing that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 62°F underscore the anomalous warmth from this persistent pattern, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour observational window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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