**Trader consensus heavily favors a low of 76-77°F (67.5% implied probability) for Miami on September 18, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological norms.** Official NWS point forecasts for Miami and Miami Beach project an overnight low near 76°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 76.8°F for this date. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show temperatures stabilizing in the upper 70s to low 80s overnight before dawn, supported by high humidity (80–90%), light northeast winds, and warm Gulf/Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit radiational cooling. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover further moderate nighttime temperature drops, while the absence of any approaching cold front or atypical steering flow keeps conditions typical for late-season tropical moisture. Slightly higher odds on 78-79°F (20%) reflect potential for limited mixing or delayed cooling, whereas the modest probability on 74-75°F (15%) accounts for localized heavier rain or clearer skies allowing marginally more cooling. Historical extremes (record low 69°F) remain unlikely given current atmospheric stability, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日迈阿密最低气温?
76-77°F 64%
74-75华氏度 23%
78-79°F 22%
72-73°F 4%
69华氏度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
4%
74-75华氏度
16%
76-77°F
74%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 64%
74-75华氏度 23%
78-79°F 22%
72-73°F 4%
69华氏度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
4%
74-75华氏度
16%
76-77°F
74%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a low of 76-77°F (67.5% implied probability) for Miami on September 18, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological norms.** Official NWS point forecasts for Miami and Miami Beach project an overnight low near 76°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 76.8°F for this date. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show temperatures stabilizing in the upper 70s to low 80s overnight before dawn, supported by high humidity (80–90%), light northeast winds, and warm Gulf/Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit radiational cooling. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover further moderate nighttime temperature drops, while the absence of any approaching cold front or atypical steering flow keeps conditions typical for late-season tropical moisture. Slightly higher odds on 78-79°F (20%) reflect potential for limited mixing or delayed cooling, whereas the modest probability on 74-75°F (15%) accounts for localized heavier rain or clearer skies allowing marginally more cooling. Historical extremes (record low 69°F) remain unlikely given current atmospheric stability, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题