Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver points to an overnight low near 49–51°F on September 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30% probability on 54–55°F and balanced support for 50–53°F bins, incorporates uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can raise or suppress the minimum by several degrees. Key variables include nocturnal cloud fraction, wind speeds above 5–10 mph that limit cooling, and any earlier precipitation that stabilizes the boundary layer. Historical mid-September climatology (typical lows near 50°F) provides context, while the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日丹佛最低温度？
9月20日丹佛最低温度？
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 40%
48-49°F 39%
54-55°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
47°F或以下
11%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
40%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
5%
64-65华氏度
5%
66°F或更高
5%
50-51°F 40%
52-53°F 40%
48-49°F 39%
54-55°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
47°F或以下
$0 交易量
11%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
39%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
40%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
40%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
30%
56-57°F
$31 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
11%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
7%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
5%
64-65华氏度
$0 交易量
5%
66°F或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver points to an overnight low near 49–51°F on September 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30% probability on 54–55°F and balanced support for 50–53°F bins, incorporates uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can raise or suppress the minimum by several degrees. Key variables include nocturnal cloud fraction, wind speeds above 5–10 mph that limit cooling, and any earlier precipitation that stabilizes the boundary layer. Historical mid-September climatology (typical lows near 50°F) provides context, while the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver points to an overnight low near 49–51°F on September 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30% probability on 54–55°F and balanced support for 50–53°F bins, incorporates uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can raise or suppress the minimum by several degrees. Key variables include nocturnal cloud fraction, wind speeds above 5–10 mph that limit cooling, and any earlier precipitation that stabilizes the boundary layer. Historical mid-September climatology (typical lows near 50°F) provides context, while the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver points to an overnight low near 49–51°F on September 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30% probability on 54–55°F and balanced support for 50–53°F bins, incorporates uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can raise or suppress the minimum by several degrees. Key variables include nocturnal cloud fraction, wind speeds above 5–10 mph that limit cooling, and any earlier precipitation that stabilizes the boundary layer. Historical mid-September climatology (typical lows near 50°F) provides context, while the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题