Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日米兰的最高温度？
9月18日米兰的最高温度？
25°C或更高 99%
24°C 37%
23°C 32%
21°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19℃
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
37%
25°C或更高
99%
25°C或更高 99%
24°C 37%
23°C 32%
21°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19℃
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
10%
21°C
$4 交易量
29%
22°C
$10 交易量
25%
23°C
$1 交易量
32%
24°C
$0 交易量
37%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a maximum temperature near 23–24°C in Milan on September 18, driven by persistent easterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C or higher at 49.5% alongside notable support for 23°C at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in exact peak timing amid instability. September climatology typically sees highs near 24–26°C, yet the current pattern follows a cooler, wetter shift after mid-month warmth. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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