**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s September 16 high, reflecting model consensus for partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating.** High humidity near 70–80% and dew points around 24–25°C favor convective cloud development, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31.9°C. Recent forecast runs show minor spread tied to exact timing and coverage of rain, with 32°C edging out 31°C and 33°C in market pricing due to slightly drier model solutions allowing brief clearing. Official resolution will hinge on the maximum 2-meter temperature reported by the China Meteorological Administration station, where even small shifts in cloud timing can move the reading by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日广州气温最高？
9月16日广州气温最高？
32°C 49%
31°C 30%
33°C 15%
34°C 5%
最新
$26,704 交易量
最新
$26,704 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
30%
32°C
49%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 49%
31°C 30%
33°C 15%
34°C 5%
最新
$26,704 交易量
最新
$26,704 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$338 交易量
<1%
26°C
$354 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,081 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,206 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,184 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,437 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,353 交易量
30%
32°C
$2,203 交易量
49%
33°C
$3,998 交易量
15%
34°C
$3,372 交易量
5%
35°C或以上
$3,176 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s September 16 high, reflecting model consensus for partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating.** High humidity near 70–80% and dew points around 24–25°C favor convective cloud development, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31.9°C. Recent forecast runs show minor spread tied to exact timing and coverage of rain, with 32°C edging out 31°C and 33°C in market pricing due to slightly drier model solutions allowing brief clearing. Official resolution will hinge on the maximum 2-meter temperature reported by the China Meteorological Administration station, where even small shifts in cloud timing can move the reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,704结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s September 16 high, reflecting model consensus for partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating.** High humidity near 70–80% and dew points around 24–25°C favor convective cloud development, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31.9°C. Recent forecast runs show minor spread tied to exact timing and coverage of rain, with 32°C edging out 31°C and 33°C in market pricing due to slightly drier model solutions allowing brief clearing. Official resolution will hinge on the maximum 2-meter temperature reported by the China Meteorological Administration station, where even small shifts in cloud timing can move the reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,704结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s September 16 high, reflecting model consensus for partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating.** High humidity near 70–80% and dew points around 24–25°C favor convective cloud development, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 31.9°C. Recent forecast runs show minor spread tied to exact timing and coverage of rain, with 32°C edging out 31°C and 33°C in market pricing due to slightly drier model solutions allowing brief clearing. Official resolution will hinge on the maximum 2-meter temperature reported by the China Meteorological Administration station, where even small shifts in cloud timing can move the reading by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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