Current forecasts from meteorological models place Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 16 in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 25–26°C amid light winds, high humidity, and a 50–80% chance of showers. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited divergence on intensification of local convection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between expected cloudiness suppressing further drops and any breaks allowing temperatures to approach 22–23°C. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine the resolution threshold before the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日广州最低气温？
9月16日广州最低气温？
30°C或更高 46%
25°C 45%
20°C或以下 38%
29°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
20°C或以下
38%
21°C
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
45%
26°C
33%
27°C
33%
28°C
32%
29°C
34%
30°C或更高
46%
30°C或更高 46%
25°C 45%
20°C或以下 38%
29°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
38%
21°C
$0 交易量
14%
22°C
$199 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
19%
25°C
$23 交易量
45%
26°C
$0 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
33%
28°C
$0 交易量
32%
29°C
$0 交易量
34%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 16 in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 25–26°C amid light winds, high humidity, and a 50–80% chance of showers. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited divergence on intensification of local convection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between expected cloudiness suppressing further drops and any breaks allowing temperatures to approach 22–23°C. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine the resolution threshold before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$222结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 16 in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 25–26°C amid light winds, high humidity, and a 50–80% chance of showers. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited divergence on intensification of local convection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between expected cloudiness suppressing further drops and any breaks allowing temperatures to approach 22–23°C. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine the resolution threshold before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$222结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models place Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 16 in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 25–26°C amid light winds, high humidity, and a 50–80% chance of showers. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited divergence on intensification of local convection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between expected cloudiness suppressing further drops and any breaks allowing temperatures to approach 22–23°C. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine the resolution threshold before the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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