Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 17, supported by southerly flow, modest humidity, and sufficient solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. This aligns with typical late-summer baselines for the region, where highs frequently peak in the upper 20s before seasonal cooling strengthens. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects high model agreement on this threshold while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or above due to limited additional warming potential. Stronger northeasterly winds or increased cloud cover could realistically hold the peak below this level, with final observations from official stations determining resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日釜山气温最高?
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
22°C或以下 <1%
$28,897 交易量
$28,897 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
22°C或以下 <1%
$28,897 交易量
$28,897 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 17, supported by southerly flow, modest humidity, and sufficient solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. This aligns with typical late-summer baselines for the region, where highs frequently peak in the upper 20s before seasonal cooling strengthens. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects high model agreement on this threshold while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or above due to limited additional warming potential. Stronger northeasterly winds or increased cloud cover could realistically hold the peak below this level, with final observations from official stations determining resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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