Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 19 with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 25–26°C as high pressure builds. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but can exceed that under clear skies. Traders appear to emphasize forecast uncertainty and potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping the 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 26°C near 20% each. Updated short-range guidance and any revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could shift sentiment before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月19日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
24°C 54%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
40%
24°C
54%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
2%
24°C 54%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$3 交易量
40%
24°C
$53 交易量
54%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 19 with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 25–26°C as high pressure builds. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but can exceed that under clear skies. Traders appear to emphasize forecast uncertainty and potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping the 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 26°C near 20% each. Updated short-range guidance and any revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 19 with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 25–26°C as high pressure builds. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but can exceed that under clear skies. Traders appear to emphasize forecast uncertainty and potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping the 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 26°C near 20% each. Updated short-range guidance and any revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 19 with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 25–26°C as high pressure builds. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but can exceed that under clear skies. Traders appear to emphasize forecast uncertainty and potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping the 24°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 26°C near 20% each. Updated short-range guidance and any revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could shift sentiment before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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