Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日北京气温最高？
9月19日北京气温最高？
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 25%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
13%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
12%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 25%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
23°C或以下
$221 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$5 交易量
32%
30°C
$5 交易量
25%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$0 交易量
12%
33°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$232结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$232结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题