**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daytime high near 64–67°F for San Francisco on September 16, 2026, driven by typical coastal marine layer influence and moderate onshore southwesterly winds.** These conditions, common in mid-September, limit warming from the cool Pacific Ocean while partly cloudy skies reduce solar heating. Recent model consensus shows no significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the low 70s or higher, consistent with historical September averages around 71°F but tempered by current atmospheric stability. The market’s heavy weighting toward 66–69°F brackets reflects traders aligning with these official guidance ranges, where even small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the final observed maximum recorded at downtown stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日旧金山气温最高？
9月16日旧金山气温最高？
68-69°F 52%
66-67华氏度 35%
70-71°F 9%
64-65°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61华氏度
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67华氏度
35%
68-69°F
52%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78华氏度或更高
<1%
68-69°F 52%
66-67华氏度 35%
70-71°F 9%
64-65°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
59°F或以下
$521 交易量
<1%
60-61华氏度
$232 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$40 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$852 交易量
5%
66-67华氏度
$1,294 交易量
35%
68-69°F
$1,757 交易量
52%
70-71°F
$1,158 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$357 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$97 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$121 交易量
<1%
78华氏度或更高
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daytime high near 64–67°F for San Francisco on September 16, 2026, driven by typical coastal marine layer influence and moderate onshore southwesterly winds.**
These conditions, common in mid-September, limit warming from the cool Pacific Ocean while partly cloudy skies reduce solar heating. Recent model consensus shows no significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the low 70s or higher, consistent with historical September averages around 71°F but tempered by current atmospheric stability. The market’s heavy weighting toward 66–69°F brackets reflects traders aligning with these official guidance ranges, where even small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the final observed maximum recorded at downtown stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,600结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daytime high near 64–67°F for San Francisco on September 16, 2026, driven by typical coastal marine layer influence and moderate onshore southwesterly winds.**
These conditions, common in mid-September, limit warming from the cool Pacific Ocean while partly cloudy skies reduce solar heating. Recent model consensus shows no significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the low 70s or higher, consistent with historical September averages around 71°F but tempered by current atmospheric stability. The market’s heavy weighting toward 66–69°F brackets reflects traders aligning with these official guidance ranges, where even small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the final observed maximum recorded at downtown stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,600结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daytime high near 64–67°F for San Francisco on September 16, 2026, driven by typical coastal marine layer influence and moderate onshore southwesterly winds.** These conditions, common in mid-September, limit warming from the cool Pacific Ocean while partly cloudy skies reduce solar heating. Recent model consensus shows no significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the low 70s or higher, consistent with historical September averages around 71°F but tempered by current atmospheric stability. The market’s heavy weighting toward 66–69°F brackets reflects traders aligning with these official guidance ranges, where even small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the final observed maximum recorded at downtown stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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