Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日成都最低气温？
9月18日成都最低气温？
15°C或以下 75%
25°C或更高 75%
21°C 49%
24°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
75%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
31%
21°C
28%
22°C
38%
23°C
37%
24°C
39%
25°C或更高
75%
15°C或以下 75%
25°C或更高 75%
21°C 49%
24°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
75%
16°C
$0 交易量
37%
17°C
$0 交易量
37%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
38%
20°C
$0 交易量
31%
21°C
$18 交易量
28%
22°C
$0 交易量
38%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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